Looks like we will probably catch the ship with the tower in a few months. If there had been a tower out to sea where we practiced landing the ship, it would have been caught. First reflight of the ship will be either end of this year or early next. That will be a fork in the road of history for consciousness reaching the stars.
Elon Musk admitted he is not sure this one is possible. Musk: “This absorbs more of my mental energy than probably any other single thing. But it is so preposterously difficult that there are times where I wonder whether we can actually do this.” He does not talk like this. Mars gets a date. Robotaxis get a date. This gets a maybe. Stern: “What is so hard about it for just a normal person to understand?” His answer comes down to a single number. Musk: “In order to make a rocket fully reusable, you’ve got to basically create a rocket that can do about 4%, if not more than 4%, of its lift-off mass to orbit, which hasn’t happened before.” Four percent. Everything else standing on that pad is fuel, tank, and engine. The landing gear, the heat shield, the extra structure that survives reentry, all of it comes out of that same four. None of it can be left behind. The vehicle has to come home. Musk: “So that means you have to have basically A-pluses across the board: incredibly efficient engines, incredibly efficient structure.” Across the board is what makes this brutal. Most engineering lets you buy a weakness in one place with strength somewhere else. The margin here is thin enough that one component landing at merely excellent drops the whole vehicle below the line. Nothing carries anything. Musk: “But if full and rapid reusability can be achieved, it reduces the cost of access to orbit by a factor of 100 or more.” A hundred times cheaper turns nearly every question about space from whether into when. Telescopes, stations, factories, missions that never made it past a spreadsheet. Musk: “So we’ve got to get rockets to the point where we simply refuel the rocket and we don’t throw it away.” Every other vehicle humans build already works that way. Space is the one place we still build the machine, use it once, and let it fall into the ocean. Musk: “It’s the difference between humanity being a single-planet species and a multi-planet species. It’s really that big of a deal.” Now put his doubt in context. Landing an orbital booster upright was considered impossible by most of the industry. He spent years being told so while boosters exploded on barges. Those landings became routine, then boring, then unwatched. Then they stopped using legs. A twenty story booster came back from the edge of space, slowed itself, and hovered next to the tower it launched from. Two arms closed around it and took its weight in midair. Nothing touched the ground. That was a headline for about a day. He has been on this side of impossible before, more than once. Doubt from him measures how hard the thing is at the start rather than how it ends. Most people never attempt anything where failure is genuinely on the table. He found the hardest problem available and made it the center of his life. That is what real ambition looks like from the inside. Not certainty. A number nobody has ever hit, and showing up to it every morning until it falls.
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RT @sapinker: Is Biology Allowed to Explain Anything? Even a sex difference as obvious as throwing strength? Robert Deaner & Mike Lombardo:…
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How do the “BIG PHARMA IS HIDING THE CURE TO CANCER” bros square that retarded idea with Moderna’s share price exploding 176% in one day after announcing cancer vaccine results Seems like big pharma actually has a pretty massive incentive to cure cancer, actually
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Elon Musk retweeted
Air travel is fundamentally a different service in the age of @Starlink. What I’m paying for is an Internet Cafe in the sky. Why would I pay for 6 hours at a Net Cafe without Internet? It’s more important than a bed. If Starlink is advertised and not working it’s kidnapping.
BREAKING: Delta customers are now admitting that they’re booking flights with other airlines specifically for @Starlink Many Delta customers are complaining on 𝕏 and tagging the airline’s account, saying that Delta’s Wi-Fi is slow, unreliable, or sometimes doesn’t work at all.
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Elon Musk retweeted
The sex difference in throwing is one of the largest behavioral sex differences ever measured. While training matters, the disparity appears to be mostly biological. Yet Anne Fausto-Sterling argues in favor of pure socialization while ignoring a mountain of evidence to the contrary. Few scholars claim to deny biology outright, with most agreeing that nature and nurture interact. In practice, however, they routinely reject biological explanations in favor of comparatively implausible environmental ones. They pay lip service to biology, but never actually allow it to explain anything. This new long read by professors Robert Deaner and Mike Lombardo examines the science of throwing, hunting, and combat, and ask a simple question: What evidence would actually be allowed to count as evidence for an innate sex difference? Read the free article on @RealLastStand below. 🔗realityslaststand.com/p/thro…
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Elon Musk retweeted
I am bewildered, and not very impressed, by the visceral, naked, irrational hatred spat out by some defenders of Jason Arday. If a Cambridge professor is accused of being an unqualified charlatan, the accusation might be racially motivated. On the other hand it might not, depending on the evidence. The correct question to ask is not, ”What is the colour of his skin” but “Is it in fact true that he is an unqualified charlatan?” Please examine the evidence before leaping to the assumption of racism. As for the idea that journalists “piled in on him” and “hounded him to his death”, most attacks were against Cambridge University. Jason himself was widely regarded as an unfortunate victim of foolish promotion way beyond his ability to cope. In appointing him to a professorship for which he was manifestly unqualified – in ludicrously describing him as “the best in the world” – certain senior members of the university showed a level of patronising condescension towards black people that could fairly be described as racism, while at the same time making him tragically vulnerable to such attacks as came his way.
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Elon Musk retweeted
More people died in France this year from not having air conditioning (7,300) than American deaths from mass shootings in all of recorded U.S. history (1,741).😬
France has recorded over 7,300 excess deaths during heatwaves this year, with a record 52 days of hot spells since mid-June, according to AFP. Separately, nearly 10,000 people across Germany have died so far this year due to heat-related causes, according to a German institute.
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Elon Musk retweeted
So I looked into this a little more, and turns out voters approved a 1:1 match, then city council “amended” it to a 6:1 match
How is this legal lol
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